Envisioning the future of territories to tackle demographic and employment challenges in sub-Saharan Africa
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.19182/agritrop/00004Mots-clés
Public policy, decentralisation, foresight, local actors, scenario, population projection, agriculture, local governanceRésumé
Version française de l'article
In sub-Saharan Africa, the magnitude of the demographic challenge implies anticipating targets to be reached within the time horizon of the next generation, in all sectors of activity. We propose an operational methodology that can be implemented by policymakers and actors in rural territories to envision the future and to prepare their development strategy. This territorial foresight methodology combines an analysis of past local dynamics, a 20-year population projection and a participatory foresight process. It enables collective thinking on sustainable paths and provides a framework for monitoring and steering public territorial action.
Références
Authors' publications
Bourgeois R., Sourisseau J.-M., Rasolofo P., Bougnoux N., Ramanitriniony Haja K., Rabeandriamaro H., Bélières J.-F., 2016. Atelier de prospective participative Les avenirs de Vakinankaratra en 2035. Paris, AFD, 38 p. http://agritrop.cirad.fr/580520/
Bourgeois R., Sourisseau J.-M., Soumaré M., Coulibaly B., Bélières J.-F., Bougnoux N., 2016. Atelier de prospective participative Les avenirs de Ségou en 2035. Paris, AFD, 35 p. http://agritrop.cirad.fr/580519/
Sourisseau J.-M., Bélières J.-F., Bourgeois R., Soumaré M., Rasolofo P., Guengant J.-P., Bougnoux N., 2017. Penser ensemble l’avenir d’un territoire. Diagnostic et prospective territoriale au Mali et à Madagascar. Paris, AFD. Études de l’AFD n°15, 179 p. ISSN 2492-8313. https://www.afd.fr/fr/penser-ensemble-avenir-territoire
Sourisseau J.-M., Bougnoux N., Bélières J.-F., Bourgeois R., 2017. Territory-centred thinking and action for a better future: territorial foresight in the regions of Ségou in Mali and Vakinankaratra in Madagascar. In: Living territories to transform the world. Caron P., Valette E., Wassenaar T., Coppens D'Eeckenbrugge G., Papazian V. (Eds). Versailles, Editions Quae, p. 243-253. ISBN 978-2-7592-2731-0.
Sourisseau J.-M., Rasolofo P., Bélières J.-F., Guengant J.-P., Ramanitriniony Haja K., Bourgeois R., Razafimiarantsoa Tovonirina T., Andrianantoandro Voahirana T., Ramarijaona M., Burnod P., Rabeandriamaro H., Bougnoux N., 2016. Diagnostic territorial de la région du Vakinankaratra à Madagascar. Paris, AFD, 157 p. http://agritrop.cirad.fr/580518/
Sourisseau J.-M., Soumaré M., Bélières J.-F., Guengant J.-P., Bourgeois R., Coulibaly B., Traoré S., 2016. Diagnostic territorial de la région de Ségou au Mali. Paris, AFD, 150 p. http://agritrop.cirad.fr/580517/
Other references
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Pesche D., Losch B. and Imbernon J. (Eds), 2016. A New Emerging Rural World - An Overview of Rural Change in Africa. Second, revised and supplemented edition, NEPAD and CIRAD, 76 p. ISBN 978-2-87614-719-5. http://www.cirad.fr/en/publications-resources/publishing/studies-and-documents/atlas-a-new-emerging-rural-world-in-africa-2nd-edition - http://agritrop.cirad.fr/581727/
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